The British scientist who led the fight against the coronavirus admitted last night that predictions of 400,000 deaths in the United Kingdom "are not absurd."
Professor Neil Ferguson of the Imperial College School of Public Health in London revealed that "this is the one that scares me,quot; when asked about the killer coronavirus, which is causing panic across the country.
However, he insisted that he was not predicting 400,000 deaths, but noted that the figure "is possible,quot; and added that "he would rather be accused of overreacting rather than reacting."
Research indicates that 60 percent of Britons could be affected by the virus, formally known as COVID-19.
One percent of infected patients could die from the disease, which in the case of Britain would mean hundreds of thousands of people.
It occurs when it was revealed that the government is working under the assumption that half of the population will be infected with the virus, which could reach all parts of Britain in a matter of months.
This could lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths and force intensive care units to make & # 39; difficult decisions & # 39; on prioritizing who to deal with.
Scientific professor Neil Ferguson of the Imperial College School of Public Health in London said 60 percent of Britons could "potentially,quot; be affected by the virus, formally known as COVID-19
A couple wears protective masks while walking on the Thames embankment in London
The Oak County Medical Center in Brighton was closed, sealed and cleaned by a team in hazardous material suits & # 39; for an urgent operational health and safety reason & # 39;
Last night Professor Ferguson was asked if 400,000 could die and replied: & # 39; Potentially. Since we know a lot about how these viruses spread, we have a lot of data from past epidemics.
& # 39; Given how transmissible this virus seems to be and the fact that at least all adults may be infected, we have much less information in children, so 60 percent is a reasonable figure.
& # 39; Within the first 12 months or so. What we don't know at the moment is if everyone is infected. What proportion could die and what are the risk groups? Our best estimates at this time is that maybe 1 percent of infected people could die & # 39; & # 39 ;.
& # 39; I would much rather be accused of overreacting than overreacting. This virus is the one that probably worries me most of all what I've worked on.
Britain faces a large outbreak of coronavirus after the disease knocked down two GPs, which prompted an urgent search for potentially hundreds of people who might have been in contact with people they have treated.
Public health officials have closed their surgery and are urgently tracking patients who might have been infected.
The location of the patients of the two Brighton doctors has become a priority because it is known that the virus is particularly dangerous for those with pre-existing health conditions.
NHS sources emphasized that a maximum of 15 patients contacted them since their return from the French chalet.
Brighton's doctors are among the 11 British who are believed to have contracted the virus from a & # 39; super propagator & # 39 ;, a middle-aged businessman who contracted it in Singapore. He is believed to be a scoutmaster and married father of one.
The Brighton GP surgery of the Oak County Medical Center was previously closed for & # 39; urgent operational health and safety reasons & # 39; after a staff member tested positive for the killer coronavirus
Dr. Catriona Saynor (pictured on the left) resigned as a partner in Brighton to live permanently in the French chalet where the British super spreader visited to ski. She works at County Oak Medical Centers a locum, according to the medical center's website. It is also said that her husband Bob and their nine-year-old son were confirmed with coronavirus
Whitehall sources suggested that the case group meant that hundreds of people would now have to be tested for the virus. The news comes when the death toll from the deadly disease exceeds 1,000.
It is believed that at least one of the infected doctors has practiced at the Oak County Medical Center in Carden Hill. It was closed yesterday for deep cleaning.
British infected with coronavirus and sick patients in the United Kingdom.
Cases in the United Kingdom and where they are served:
Newcastle: Two Chinese citizens who arrived in the United Kingdom with coronaviruses and became ill while on the tourist route in York. They were the first two cases on British soil and were confirmed on January 31.
London: The first British victim of coronavirus is known as super spreader. He captured the virus in Singapore, but then flew back to skiing in France, where he seems to have infected at least 11 people.
Dr. Catriona Saynor, owner of the villa with her husband Bob, it is feared that she will be the fourth patient in the UK diagnosed with coronavirus. Her husband remained in France but she flew to Britain for medical tests and is in the hospital.
Four more people in Brighton they were diagnosed over the weekend and confirmed as cases today. All were "known contacts,quot; of the super-spreader and it is believed that they stayed in the same French resort.
Total in UK hospitals: eight patients. Six British and two Chinese citizens.
British expatriates and tourists outside the UK and where they are being served:
Majorca: A British father of two children who stayed at the ski resort tested positive after returning home to Mallorca. His wife and children are not sick.
France: Five people who were in the chalet with the super spreader. These include the villa owner, environmental consultant Bob Saynor, 48, and his nine year old son Everyone is in a French hospital with three others without a name. Dr. Catriona Saynor It is in Britain.
Japan: A British man aboard a cruise ship docked in a port in Japan tested positive for coronavirus, Princess Cruises said. Alan Steele of Wolverhampton posted on Facebook that he had been diagnosed with the virus. Steele said he showed no symptoms but was taken to the hospital. He was on his honeymoon.
Apparently he passed it to a group with whom he stayed in a French ski chalet near Mont Blanc.
Six of the infected Britons are being treated in France and Spain, but the other five, including GPs, are back in the Brighton area.
It is feared that the super spreader, which is in an isolation unit, came into contact with hundreds of people upon their return to Britain.
A source who knows the super broadcaster told the Sun: & # 39; I know I was in Singapore because I knew I was attending a conference.
& # 39; Once this was done, he went to the chalet in France through Geneva, which is an hour away, and stayed there for a week.
"After spending five days in the chalet, he took an easyJet flight to his home in Gatwick and returned to Brighton."
A spokesman for the Scout Association last night could not confirm whether one of its 640,000 members had contracted the virus.
The World Health Organization expressed its alarm about the situation last night. "The detection of this small number of cases could be the spark that turns into a major fire," said its CEO, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. He said it was worrisome that the disease had been transmitted by people without a history of travel to China, where the virus originated.
When the death toll in China exceeded 1,000 and the Department of Health declared a & # 39; serious and imminent threat & # 39 ;:
- The Government was granted new powers to arrest anyone suspected of having coronavirus;
- The number of cases in Britain reached eight, Brighton's group and two infected Chinese citizens in York;
- Private schools were advised to tell students not to travel to Southeast Asia during the semester next week;
- A student at Sussex University in Brighton was admitted to a hospital with suspected coronavirus;
- A private school in Southampton closed for three days after students were isolated with virus symptoms;
- A Chinese citizen journalist who gave the alarm about the coronavirus has been missing since last Thursday;
- Health workers in the United Kingdom have now examined the virus for 1,100 people;
- British Airways canceled all flights to and from China until April.
Until the Country Oak medical center is reopened, 7,600 surgery patients have been told to call NHS 111 if they are not well or 999 if they have a life-threatening emergency.
A note on the front of the Oak County Medical Center in Brighton saying the surgery has been closed for & # 39; operational difficulties & # 39;
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED KINGDOM "FORTALIZE QUARANTINE TO ANY PATIENT WITH SUSPECTED CORONAVIROS,quot;
Alleged coronavirus patients will now be forcibly quarantined after a man who remained in an isolation center after his evacuation from Wuhan two weeks ago threatened to withdraw.
MailOnline understands that the patient staying at the Arrowe Park hospital in The Wirral told doctors he would leave before completing 14 days of quarantine after his return from the Chinese city.
Government sources said those who returned to the United Kingdom on evacuation flights on January 31 had a "very clear option,quot; and had to sign contracts saying they would remain isolated for fifteen days.
It occurred when the Department of Health declared the outbreak today as a threat & # 39; serious and imminent & # 39; for the British public by announcing new powers to combat the spread. Anyone infected with the virus will now be kept in quarantine for their own safety and will be forced into isolation if it poses a threat to public health.
A source told MailOnline: & # 39; We discovered that we didn't have the necessary enforcement powers to make sure they didn't leave.
The source said the phrase & # 39; serious and imminent threat & # 39; in the regulation it was necessary to activate the powers, and at this time the risk to the public is still considered & # 39; moderate & # 39 ;. We are saying that we have to take steps to prevent it from becoming a serious and imminent threat.
MailOnline understands that the first British evacuated from Wuhan will have completed 14 days in quarantine on Saturday.
A GP who has worked in practice, Catriona Greenwood, owns the French chalet with her husband.
However, there is no official confirmation that it is infected with the virus.
According to Brighton and Hove News, she worked a day of & # 39; admin & # 39; in surgery last week, but he didn't meet any patients.
Public Health England is also trying to track anyone who has come into contact with other infected Britons during ski vacations.
They have told a dozen people in Brighton to quarantine and send them text messages every morning asking them to answer & # 39; yes & # 39; or & # 39; no & # 39; If they have symptoms.
Five employees of the Grenadier pub in Hove have been instructed to "self-insulate,quot; after the super spreader spent two hours there on February 1.
A bar worker was told that they needed to be within two meters of an infected person for more than 20 minutes to be at risk of contracting the infection.
Professor Yvonne Doyle, medical director of PHE, said: & # 39; Two of these new cases are health workers and as soon as they were identified, we advise them to self-isolate to keep patient contact to a minimum.
"We are now working urgently to identify all patients and other health workers who may have been in close contact, and at this stage we believe that this is a relatively small number."
The fact that this super propagator transmitted the disease to 11 Britons, five of whom returned to the United Kingdom and may have infected others, has worried scientists. & # 39;
Last week, medical director Chris Whitty said patients tend to spread the disease to only two or three people.
Arrowe Park Hospital, the isolation facility at The Wirral, where the British evacuated from Wuhan in China have been staying
Health chiefs are also under increasing pressure to name a & # 39; super propagator & # 39; British coronavirus, which is believed to have infected at least seven others.
It is possible that the villagers were in close contact and that the man had no symptoms.
Andrew Freedman of the Cardiff University School of Medicine said: “ It seems that the index case has transmitted the infection to an unusually large number of contacts.
BRIT BUSINESSMAN GETS CORONAVIRUS AT THE SINGAPORE LUEGO HOTEL FLYED HOME THROUGH THE FRENCH SKI RESORT AND HAD A PAINT IN HIS LOCAL PUB
It is feared that a & # 39; super spreader & # 39; British has infected at least seven other people with coronavirus, which led to emergency tests of hundreds of people on their flights, alpine skiing holidays and even staff at their local pub.
The businessman is at the center of a network of cases that span the United Kingdom, France and Spain after he apparently contracted the virus during a four-day trip to Singapore for a sales conference for the gas analysis company Servomex .
The man in his fifties then traveled by plane from Southeast Asia to the Alps to ski in Les Contamines-Montjoie at the end of January, where five more Britons, including a nine-year-old boy, became infected despite the fact that the & # 39; super spreader & # 39; He had no cold or flu-like symptoms.
Britain's health authorities also contacted 183 passengers and six crew members on an easyJet flight that the unidentified man then took from Geneva to London, warning them that they might be infected.
Five employees of The Grenadier in Hove, their local pub, were instructed to self-insulate for fifteen days after he went to have a beer on Saturday, February 1.
& # 39; As such, it could be called a super broadcaster.
& # 39; This can occur as a result of someone being infectious despite having few or no symptoms, which means they don't know they have the infection.
"It can also be the result of someone coming into close contact with an unusually large number of people or someone carrying a larger than normal amount of virus."
The super broadcaster, who lives in Brighton, contracted the virus at a conference at the Grand Hyatt hotel in Singapore organized by Servomex, a British gas analysis company.
He then flew to France and spent four days in a chalet in Les Contamines-Montjoie.
This chalet has been designated as the center of this outbreak. It is owned by Miss Greenwood, one of the potentially infected GPs, and her husband Bob Saynor, 48, an environmental consultant.
Saynor is being treated for the virus in France with his nine-year-old son and five other Britons.
A British father of two children who also stayed in the chalet is in the hospital of Mallorca.
The 13 Britons who contracted the virus include Alan Steele, who fell ill on his honeymoon aboard the Diamond Princess cruise ship in front of Japan.
Two Chinese citizens are being treated in Newcastle after testing positive for the virus in York.
Brighton pharmacists have sold hand sanitizers and face masks.